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Monday, January 1, 2024
Plausible national security scenarios.
Leave The World Behind” on Netflix is unsettling because it is has (mostly) plausible national security scenarios.
Is this some sort of corrupt link? The characters in the search string have MEGA and GAZA near the end, in a long string of nonsense characters, I noticed. Perhaps someone at Google has been putting these in web links as some sort of subliminal message that most people won't notice?
Movies don't have a very good track record of making predictions. Just because something is remotely possible, for example, or plausible, does not mean it's real or likely to occur.
“Movies don't have a very good track record of making predictions. Just because something is remotely possible, for example, or plausible, does not mean it's real or likely to occur.”
Yah, no way a group of foreign terrorists with box cutter knives could ever fly our commercial jet planes into USA buildings and kill thousands of Americans. Such paranoia.
MEGA could be a reference to the file sharing company with the same name, they are in New Zealand. Or perhaps MEGA GAZA is some sort of statement glorifying Hamas, or wishing the Israeli attack on them will have a "MEGA" impact?
Any 4 letter words would appear in a random alphanumeric string about once every while so perhaps it is just by random chance, as another guess.
6:46 That was not predicted in any movies. It's a certainty by the way that bad events will happen from time to time, as they have throughout history, for example we had a pandemic as you know. And various economic problems, of course, racial tensions, disputed elections (look up 1876), court packing, unexpected wars, job displacement, and climate disasters and internal migration (such as the dust bowl).
There were also times of unexpected peace and prosperity, of course, as well as many doomsday predictions which failed, and so on, for example "peak oil" or the "population bomb", predictions nuclear weapons would be used after WWII other than for deterrence, that nuclear proliferation would be much more widespread, etc.
And that random string of characters also contains "GLAD" I believe, so perhaps it indeed could be interpreted as a pro-Hamas or pro-Iran statement, I am not sure who else would be glad about the situation.
"for example "peak oil" or the "population bomb", predictions "
What is so odd abut these arguments is that even with very simple calculations it was trivial to show that these claims are nonsense. They seemed to get some traction in certain social science circles but mathematical biologists and economists never took this seriously. The population bomb was very silly since it relied on exponential growth of humans but even at the time the growth was not exponential and even less so today. In fact the population starts dropping in about 30 years. I think it was Paul Ehrlich who pushed for that and applied math people instantly pointed why this was wrong but this guy had no understanding of derivatives. He wrote popular book which was loved by millions of Americans and politicians but was never taken seriously by quantitative scientists.
Peak oil is even sillier since it makes ridicules claims about oil production being a one variable problem, which is just laughable by definition. The guy actually fit a Gaussian to oil production. Once again economists rapidly pointed out why this was beyond wrong and never took it seriously again but public bought into it because you cannot explain multi variable effects to the random person.
It makes you wonder how many other doomsday predictions are also wrong.
It seems if you look at the original search.google.com string that was posted under this thread (which contains the words GLAD MEGA GAZA mixed in a long string of nonsense characters) that can be reverse engineered to get some time stamp data, the alphanumeric sequence seems to be encoded binary data to format the search results.
There is a tool on the internet that breaks down what it means:
https://dfir.blog/unfurl-3d/
So it is seemingly purely by chance, unless you rule out a Ouija-board like effect or some Skynet-like entity at Google placing it there, or that it might be a warning from our Lord to repent.
3:39 by the way around the time the "population bomb" came out there was an interesting mouse study that exhibited population growth, decline, and extinction in an overcrowded mouse environment, in which there was no contagious disease and unlimited food, no predators or weather, and so forth. In this so-called "mouse utopia" the mice exhibited behaviors highly unusual to their species:
There could be some lessons there, for example we know empirically that when health care and food are abundant in modern societies the result is often population decline. This is true, for example, in Japan, South Korea, China, much of Europe, and the US population would arguably decline as well if not for immigration:
10 comments:
Is this some sort of corrupt link? The characters in the search string have MEGA and GAZA near the end, in a long string of nonsense characters, I noticed. Perhaps someone at Google has been putting these in web links as some sort of subliminal message that most people won't notice?
Movies don't have a very good track record of making predictions. Just because something is remotely possible, for example, or plausible, does not mean it's real or likely to occur.
“Movies don't have a very good track record of making predictions. Just because something is remotely possible, for example, or plausible, does not mean it's real or likely to occur.”
Yah, no way a group of foreign terrorists with box cutter knives could ever fly our commercial jet planes into USA buildings and kill thousands of Americans. Such paranoia.
MEGA could be a reference to the file sharing company with the same name, they are in New Zealand. Or perhaps MEGA GAZA is some sort of statement glorifying Hamas, or wishing the Israeli attack on them will have a "MEGA" impact?
Any 4 letter words would appear in a random alphanumeric string about once every while so perhaps it is just by random chance, as another guess.
6:46 That was not predicted in any movies. It's a certainty by the way that bad events will happen from time to time, as they have throughout history, for example we had a pandemic as you know. And various economic problems, of course, racial tensions, disputed elections (look up 1876), court packing, unexpected wars, job displacement, and climate disasters and internal migration (such as the dust bowl).
There were also times of unexpected peace and prosperity, of course, as well as many doomsday predictions which failed, and so on, for example "peak oil" or the "population bomb", predictions nuclear weapons would be used after WWII other than for deterrence, that nuclear proliferation would be much more widespread, etc.
And that random string of characters also contains "GLAD" I believe, so perhaps it indeed could be interpreted as a pro-Hamas or pro-Iran statement, I am not sure who else would be glad about the situation.
"for example "peak oil" or the "population bomb", predictions "
What is so odd abut these arguments is that even with very simple calculations it was trivial to show that these claims are nonsense. They seemed to get some traction in certain social science circles but mathematical biologists and economists never took this seriously. The population bomb was very silly since it relied on exponential growth of humans but even at the time the growth was not exponential and even less so today. In fact the population starts dropping in about 30 years. I think it was Paul Ehrlich who pushed for that and applied math people instantly pointed why this was wrong but this guy had no understanding of derivatives. He wrote popular book which was loved by millions of Americans and politicians but was never taken seriously by quantitative scientists.
Peak oil is even sillier since it makes ridicules claims about oil production being a one variable problem, which is just laughable by definition. The guy actually fit a Gaussian to oil production. Once again economists rapidly pointed out why this was beyond wrong and never took it seriously again but public bought into it because you cannot explain multi variable effects to the random person.
It makes you wonder how many other doomsday predictions are also wrong.
It seems if you look at the original search.google.com string that was posted under this thread (which contains the words GLAD MEGA GAZA mixed in a long string of nonsense characters) that can be reverse engineered to get some time stamp data, the alphanumeric sequence seems to be encoded binary data to format the search results.
There is a tool on the internet that breaks down what it means:
https://dfir.blog/unfurl-3d/
So it is seemingly purely by chance, unless you rule out a Ouija-board like effect or some Skynet-like entity at Google placing it there, or that it might be a warning from our Lord to repent.
3:39 by the way around the time the "population bomb" came out there was an interesting mouse study that exhibited population growth, decline, and extinction in an overcrowded mouse environment, in which there was no contagious disease and unlimited food, no predators or weather, and so forth. In this so-called "mouse utopia" the mice exhibited behaviors highly unusual to their species:
https://www.victorpest.com/articles/what-humans-can-learn-from-calhouns-rodent-utopia
https://www.the-scientist.com/foundations/universe-25-1968-1973-69941
https://youtu.be/iOFveSUmh9U?si=2y6KTYElCRqLfwey
There could be some lessons there, for example we know empirically that when health care and food are abundant in modern societies the result is often population decline. This is true, for example, in Japan, South Korea, China, much of Europe, and the US population would arguably decline as well if not for immigration:
https://www.brookings.edu/articles/new-census-projections-show-immigration-is-essential-to-the-growth-and-vitality-of-a-more-diverse-us-population/
To what extent the controversial mouse study might relate to this, of course, is questionable but perhaps one can draw some analogies.
China is working on an even better way of killing mice -- "humanized mice" unfortunately:
https://www.the-express.com/news/world-news/124028/china-experimenting-covid-virus-fatal-mice
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