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The near-future of HR

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By scooby

 90% of HR Staff Gone by 2030

According to Stuart Varney’s guest on Fox Business, 90% of Human Resources (HR) and HR related jobs, could be eliminated by 2030 due to AI.


Has LLNS been reducing its HR staff through attrition, so high HR layoff numbers will be less likely by 2030?

Comments

Anonymous said…
We have discussed this before. AI could well replace things like HR, Legal, and many business functions and probably do a better job at it in many cases. Any business would embrace this to increase efficiency and profit.

The issue is at least at LANL is that part of the function of the lab is to dissipate money, be a force for good, and provide funding for Northern New Mexico. That means we need to employ lots of non-technical staff to dissipate that money. Also I would say across much of the DOE complex where paper work, administration and compliance are the priority. I simply see no way that AI could be used reduce these and so far I have not seen a single tangible improvement. In fact it seems like the overheard burdens and inefficiencies have increased especially since DOGE showed up. Sure lots of talk but it seems just like that talk.

At the labs you see the direct funded staff being increasingly stressed out but the overhead people are having a great time. There is giant party after party in the conference rooms every week by the overhead staff for birthdays, celebrations, meetings and so on. The direct staff have no time for this. If AI comes in the indirect people will have even more time of their hands to enjoy their lives.

I would say that if AI does start talking over such jobs in the private sector you will see more and more of these people showing up at the labs as the labs budgets increases. The ratio of non-technical staff to technical staff will go up and the overhead rates will continue to go up. Chris Wright said he wants a 20% reduction in overhead. How would be achieved?
3/13/2026 4:05 AM
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