Skip to main content

Spectacular progress at NIF!

Spectacular progress at NIF!

http://optics.org/news/5/8/23

Comments

Anonymous said…
Oh my God, they achieved ignition!!! Oh, wait... What progress?
Anonymous said…
NIF won't achieve ignition until Moses (Ed) comes down from the mountain to wave his cain over NIF and "directs" the pellet to fuse.
Anonymous said…
But if and when that breakthrough comes, Dunne believes that it will be a relatively short time before real power plants based on the NIF technique could be put into operation. “It could be as short as eight years,” he said. (Article)


Using the NNSA labs common scaling factor of x5 with this 8 year figure and that gives a date 40 years from today.

Fantastic! Young scientist will be able to keep hyping the success of fusion energy generators that are "right around the corner " for their whole career at the lab. This is, indeed, fabulous news for those working at NIF.
Anonymous said…
This is a hard issue.

It could be done in 8 years if it was treated as a high national priority, and everybody lined up to make it happen (as in Apollo). That doesn't seem very likely, but to scientific types it's not impossible.

40+ years is much more likely, given how hard it is to get and maintain enough consensus to actually do anything.

So, if you're an honest scientist who really feels like this would be a good thing for mankind, what do you say? "8 years" damages your credibility, "40+ years" makes everybody loose interest immediately. So I guess you do as Dunne did: you state carefully that it "could be as soon as 8 years."

Personally, after 30+ years in the fusion business, I think the "8 years" is just laughably misleading. The US no longer has the guts for things like this, and we need to face that unfortunate fact.
Anonymous said…
It is 20 years away because people can't conceive of a time beyond 20 years. This is the time of active recall. Beyond that is hazy. Fusion power has been 20 years away since Toy Top under Fred and Charley.

The Spanish Christians took 800 years of constant war to throw out the Spanish Muslims. And that is an easier problem to solve that Fusion power production.

There is a lesson here for both Fusion Power salesmen and Middle East peddlers. We are only 60 years along in an 800 year campaign...
Anonymous said…
We don't have the resources to devote to the problem, no one does. It's unbelievably expensive. And it's not clear that inertial fusion is viable at all except with bomb drivers (read, not a power plant). Certainly it's not at all clear that even the NIF is big enough. Tokamaks, maybe, but they have their own (different) problems. It's Mosesesque hyperbole to talk of fusion as anything but a long-running science research project.
Anonymous said…
So.... it looks like NIF hasn't gotten much done in the last two years since they had the alpha heating milestone failure.
Anonymous said…
NIF is winning !!!! All you doubters are losers.

Now, go away and let the real scientists perform their ground-breaking work. There is a Noble Prize to be won.

Anonymous said…
And if all that money had been put into Solar energy research we would be basking in cheap clean energy all over the us today! We are such stupid stupid creatures!!!!!
Anonymous said…
"Anonymous said...

So.... it looks like NIF hasn't gotten much done in the last two years since they had the alpha heating milestone failure."

Students, here we have a perfect example of bloggian logic. By simply attaching the word "so" to the beginning of whatever statement you would like to make, in whatever thread you would like to make it, you can appear to have read and followed the previous discussion, and drawn an actual conclusion. It's just that simple. Your statement need not be based on any facts or any alleged facts, but can be manufactured from whole cloth to suit whatever purpose you wish.

So, it's apparent that the referenced posting is the product of a deviant and probably sociological cold-fusion scientist.
Anonymous said…
You put that much effort into responding to a troll? Getuhlifffffeeee.
Anonymous said…
Perhaps it could be rewritten to make 6:05 pm happy.

"So.... it looks like NIF hasn't gotten much done that is of significant worth weighed against the enormous costs in the last two years since they had the alpha heating milestone failure that remains a major failure despite any high-foot flag-waving
Anonymous said…
That makes 6:05 look like the troll.
Anonymous said…
NIF = No Issues Found
NIC = No Issues Corrected

It feels like "spectacular progress" or "milestone achieved" or "mission accomplished" is announced every time a butterfly farts.

Yes, that was a reference to George W.

goo.gl/BnKN8D

Popular posts from this blog

Plutonium Shots on NIF.

Tri-Valley Cares needs to be on this if they aren't already. We need to make sure that NNSA and LLNL does not make good on promises to pursue such stupid ideas as doing Plutonium experiments on NIF. The stupidity arises from the fact that a huge population is placed at risk in the short and long term. Why do this kind of experiment in a heavily populated area? Only a moron would push that kind of imbecile area. Do it somewhere else in the god forsaken hills of Los Alamos. Why should the communities in the Bay Area be subjected to such increased risk just because the lab's NIF has failed twice and is trying the Hail Mary pass of doing an SNM experiment just to justify their existence? Those Laser EoS techniques and the people analyzing the raw data are all just BAD anyways. You know what comes next after they do the experiment. They'll figure out that they need larger samples. More risk for the local population. Stop this imbecilic pursuit. They wan...

Trump is to gut the labs.

The budget has a 20% decrease to DOE office of science, 20% cut to NIH. NASA also gets a cut. This will  have a huge negative effect on the lab. Crazy, juts crazy. He also wants to cut NEA and PBS, this may not seem like  a big deal but they get very little money and do great things.

LLNL un-diversity

Actual post from Dec. 15 from one of the streams. This is a real topic. As far as promoting women and minorities even if their qualifications are not as good as the white male scientists, I am all for it. We need diversity at the lab and if that is what it takes, so be it.  Quit your whining. Look around the lab, what do you see? White male geezers. How many African Americans do you see at the lab? Virtually none. LLNL is one of the MOST undiverse places you will see. Face it folks, LLNL is an institution of white male privilege and they don't want to give up their privileged positions. California, a state of majority Hispanics has the "crown jewel" LLNL nestled in the middle of it with very FEW Hispanics at all!