I just received my annual TCP-1 letter from LLNS and a summary of the LLNS Pension Plan. Looked in pretty good shape in 2013. About 35% overfunded (funding target attainment percentage = 134.92%). This was a decrease from 2012 where it was 51% overfunded (funding target attainment percentage = 151.59%). They did note that the 2012 change in the law on how liabilities are calculated using interest rates improved the plan's position. Without the change the funding target attainment percentages would have been 118% (2012) and 105% (2013). 2013 assets = $2,057,866,902 2013 liabilities = $1,525,162,784 vs 2012 assets = $1,844,924,947 2012 liabilities = $1,217,043,150 It was also noted that a slightly different calculation method ("fair market value") designed to show a clearer picture of the plan' status as December 31, 2013 had; Assets = $2,403,098,433 Liabilities = $2,068,984,256 Funding ratio = 116.15% Its a closed plan with 3,781 participants. Of that number, 3,151 wer...
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Can you feel it!? The odds of the NIF Nobel prize are looking good. I keep seeing NIF fusion all over the place.
I give it a good chance we are going to see a NIF Nobel this years. The buzz is there. What I am not sure who exactly would get it for NIF or laser fusion?
I think John Hopkin Nuckolls is still alive, so he would be good. Brunton, Ed Moses, Miller?
By the way I am serious that this could be a prize. Another prediction is it could be just one person for laser ignition in general, one for tokamaks, one for some laser plasma. Plasma is underrepresented in the prize. The Nobel committee also loves lasers, so it could be another laser years with someone from NIF and some other laser person.
I don't know if the gravitational wave study they mentioned was really a breakthrough either, given that there were already Nobel prizes related to that -- binary pulsars and LIGO as I recall.
Also the original physics describing why nuclei fuse to form heavier elements in stars, was I think, worked out by people like Bethe, Gamow, Hoyle -- I thought Bethe won the Nobel prize for this! Wasn't that the main "fusion breakthrough", in terms of actual science and not technology?
https://www.theguardian.com/science/2010/oct/03/fred-hoyle-nobel-prize
https://www.aps.org/publications/apsnews/200804/physicshistory.cfm
It looks like he added Bethe's name to a paper, meaning his student would get less credit of course, whereas Hoyle irritated the Nobel committee by claiming that someone's student should have received credit in another prize, causing him to miss out himself:
https://www.nytimes.com/1975/03/22/archives/hoyle-disputes-nobel-physics-award.html
https://www.theguardian.com/science/2010/oct/03/fred-hoyle-nobel-prize