LLNL and the rise of the Midwit? Is this an issue?
Have we created this over educated society over this last 50 or 60 years.
We've gone from five percent of the population in the '50s having a BA, to nearly 50 percent of the population having one.
...You also get more people that have master's degrees and more people that have doctorates.
Having a doctorate was seen as a sign that you are part of the intellectual elite. (it still does, and that's the problem).
Imagine if the average iq of a person that had a doctorate was reduced from 135, all the way down to 115?
Imagine if a doctorate became something that was associated with being a midwit.
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This would contradict the claim you are making, although I would admit it would also lead to the hiring of poorly qualified people.
And imagine the 115 IQ midwit doctorate was also an open loop bully with an EQ of 45?
https://bgr.com/tech/chatgpt-took-an-iq-test-and-its-score-was-sky-high/
They are so far, of course, unable to understand higher-level concepts including mathematics, and lack the ability to plan and carry out projects in a useful manner, but those things are being worked on. For example, Google's Gemini project, the rumors about Q* from OpenAI, etc.
Of course, there have also been recent efforts to enable simple models that can run on an ordinary PC, to carry out reasoning despite having lower verbal fluency and IQ:
https://www.microsoft.com/en-us/research/blog/orca-2-teaching-small-language-models-how-to-reason/
https://www.secondstate.io/articles/orca-2-13b/
We used to think that it was the revenge of the C students prowling the halls of the DOE and NNSA were the problem.
We have met the enemy, and it is us.
12/06/2023 9:28 AM"
Seems about right, Harvard, MIT and so on keep the numbers up but you have more and more people getting degrees from lower ranked places. LANL use to have 30% of the their postdocs from the top 10 schools back in 2000, since it is maybe 5-3% or less, a 10 fold drop.