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Saturday, May 23, 2020
Nuclear testing and trump
Is this real? Trump may want to do a NW test? What could possibly go wrong?
For this to come up, there must be an issue in the stockpile. It’s hard to speculate but I could see some aging component making the margins unacceptable. Maybe they’re concerned about this new W93 they’re trying to develop for the Navy. Maybe to field an entirely new weapon they have to do tests.
The dilemma here is that as the NW program starts consuming the entire military budget, won’t we need greater confidence in NW performance and reliability? That is, with NW programs getting 20% increases in budget every year, we will have to reduce our conventional capability. Ultimately we may have to rely entirely on NW, even to head off a conventional confrontation. Of coarse this makes the world a much more dangerous place, but somehow the NNSA is good at making the argument for huge increases. This has to ultimately come at the expense to conventional forces.
"Of coarse this makes the world a much more dangerous place"
That could be argued both ways. Maybe if we test and it works than other nations are going to say what is the point they could never compete with the US. Maybe China will think wwIII is not a good idea. Of course it could turn out differently and Luxembourg will thing they also need nukes to compete with the US and we start another arms race with more instability.
" This has to ultimately come at the expense to conventional forces."
Good point but than again if someone thinks that the US does not have nukes or they do not work than they could attack. In other words a strong NW deterrent could mean we would need less conventional weapons.
The other issue is China may have been watching what has occurred in the NNSA and DOE since 2000 and think that our capabilities have been degraded. If you take what Nanos had to say about LANL then you might think our capabilities are not what they use to be and that the talent base that existed in the cold war are no longer at the labs. Just a thought. You know when you attack the labs and the people at the labs other nations are paying attention. Now maybe in 2004 no one took China or Russian seriously and we thought that NW are thing of the past but that could be coming back to hurt us now.
There are no design or component issues with any systems in the current WR stockpile... but there is something definitely wrong with the brain of the a..hole current occupant of the White House.
There are no design or component issues with any systems in the current WR stockpile... but there is something definitely wrong with the brain of the a..hole current occupant of the White House.
5/27/2020 7:01 PM
New Mexico is still a flyover state. No matter how much you try you will be let into the elite class of educated and woke people.
10 comments:
For this to come up, there must be an issue in the stockpile. It’s hard to speculate but I could see some aging component making the margins unacceptable. Maybe they’re concerned about this new W93 they’re trying to develop for the Navy. Maybe to field an entirely new weapon they have to do tests.
It is just Trump being Trump. And not necessarily a bad idea, given low yield tests purportedly being done by Russia and China.
The dilemma here is that as the NW program starts consuming the entire military budget, won’t we need greater confidence in NW performance and reliability? That is, with NW programs getting 20% increases in budget every year, we will have to reduce our conventional capability. Ultimately we may have to rely entirely on NW, even to head off a conventional confrontation. Of coarse this makes the world a much more dangerous place, but somehow the NNSA is good at making the argument for huge increases. This has to ultimately come at the expense to conventional forces.
"Of coarse this makes the world a much more dangerous place"
That could be argued both ways. Maybe if we test and it works than other nations are going to say what is the point they could never compete with the US. Maybe China will think wwIII is not a good idea. Of course it could turn out differently and Luxembourg will thing they also need nukes to compete with the US and we start another arms race with more instability.
" This has to ultimately come at the expense to conventional forces."
Good point but than again if someone thinks that the US does not have nukes or they do not work than they could attack. In other words a strong NW deterrent could mean we would need less conventional weapons.
The other issue is China may have been watching what has occurred in the NNSA and DOE since 2000 and think that our capabilities have been degraded. If you take what Nanos had to say about LANL then you might think our capabilities are not what they use to be and that the talent base that existed in the cold war are no longer at the labs. Just a thought. You know when you attack the labs and the people at the labs other nations are paying attention. Now maybe in 2004 no one took China or Russian seriously and we thought that NW are thing of the past but that could be coming back to hurt us now.
At least the "then-than" guy/gal is only randomly confusing the two words now instead of consistently doing so. That's progress!
5/25/2020 8:48 AM
I see you have very important insights to add to the discussion.
5/23/2020 9:03 AM
There are no design or component issues with any systems in the current WR stockpile... but there is something definitely wrong with the brain of the a..hole current occupant of the White House.
There are no design or component issues with any systems in the current WR stockpile... but there is something definitely wrong with the brain of the a..hole current occupant of the White House.
5/27/2020 7:01 PM
New Mexico is still a flyover state. No matter how much you try you will be let into the elite class of educated and woke people.
New Mexico is still a flyover state. No matter how much you try you will be let into the elite class of educated and woke people.
5/27/2020 10:32 PM
Only certain flyover states should be allowed to vote.
Only certain flyover states should be allowed to vote.
5/28/2020 1:02 PM
Who is going to do the "allowing"?
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