The president of Microsoft said that there was absolutely no chance of super-intelligent AI being created "soon", meaning in the next 12 months! After that it could take "years". Decades are certainly possible, I take it, but not likely. https://slashdot.org/story/23/11/30/1639238/microsoft-president-says-no-chance-of-super-intelligent-ai-soon Of course, super-intelligent AI is the term for something much smarter than the smartest humans. So perhaps reaching ordinary human intelligence will be sooner!