Kingston Reif has another excellent look at missile defense, this time
analyzing the Ground-based Midcourse Defense system that Congress keeps
even though several analyses (including that of the Pentagon's
Operational Test and Evaluation Office) have called into question the
potential for the system to ever work. I hope you find it of interest.
Best,
Janice
Does missile defense work? http://www.thebulletin.org/web-edition/columnists/kingston-reif/does-missile-defense-work
--
Janice Sinclaire
Internet Outreach Coordinator
3 comments:
Missile defense doesn't necessarily have to work. It only has to make your adversary think that it may work.
It's a bit like the MAD (mutually assured destruction) policy of the Cold War.
If you're a burglary in my home and I'm point a 12 gauge shotgun at your chest that appears very realistic, would you take the chance of believing that there is no shell in the chamber? I highly doubt it.
Good grief. of course missile defense does not work, you just need one missile to get through and you are hosed. It is called probability.
You can point as many shotguns as you want, if the burglar shoots first, you will stop using game theory.
Post a Comment