This BLOG is for LLNL present and past employees, friends of LLNL and anyone impacted by the privatization of the Lab to express their opinions and expose the waste, wrongdoing and any kind of injustice against employees and taxpayers by LLNS/DOE/NNSA.
The opinions stated are personal opinions. Therefore,
The BLOG author may or may not agree with them before making the decision to post them.
Comments not conforming to BLOG rules are deleted.
Blog author serves as a moderator.
For new topics or suggestions, email jlscoob5@gmail.com
Blog rules
Stay on topic.
No profanity, threatening language, pornography.
NO NAME CALLING.
No political debate.
Posts and comments are posted several times a day.
Great so I can go back to licking doorknobs and going on cruises to Italy. Just kidding.
I like that universities are sending students home to prevent the spread but hotels and airlines are aggressively pushing to get young people to fly and go on vacation with super cheap incentives. Kinda see a contradiction.
It is simply going to spread now. I like that we just stoped travel from Europe, that will sure help considering that the cow is out of the barn so to speak. Cases are starting show up in Santa Fe, not long now before it is in Los Alamos. So buckle up this train has left the station.
Why so much fear? Im not sure the numbers are much worse than flu when you account for the bias in the sample.
3/12/2020 1:26 PM
Its just the flu bro!
Sorry but did you really think China just shut down their entire economy and lock down everybody because it is just the flu? There is some evidence and debate that there are actually two strains L and S and one has the 1% rate and other 3.5-5%. You wanna take a chance with 5% death rate for 1/2 or 2/3 of the population? It is the 4.5% that has some people really worried.
You wanna take a chance with 5% death rate for 1/2 or 2/3 of the population? It is the 4.5% that has some people really worried. 3/12/2020 6:49 PM
The sample is strongly biased to those that present SIGNIFICANT symptoms. I'm not sure we can say, at this point, that it is anymore deadly than the annual flu. Time will tell. If you do not understand, when was the last time you had the flu and when was the last time you were swabbed and received a lab result for flu?
The 2019 flu death rate for those who are hospitalized and over 65 years of age is greater than 8%. The death rate for those that require medical "visits" is 1.5% (2019 estimates provided by the CDC). These two categories are the best representation of the current bias in the sample and I would stipulate the current coronavirus sample is highly biased toward the higher rate at this point.
Those who are vulnerable should be protected but fear is a powerful thing. Knowledge is the only defense or you can just go buy a bunch of toilet paper....
Based on the current bias, I would wager significantly less than 1% mortality after the dust settles. Again, vulnerable demographics need to be protected.
People are living really long. Because of modern medicine elderly people with chronic conditions can live well into their 90’s. I have a couple of friends in their 80’s who have abused their bodies with alcoholism and are still around thanks to emergency treatment. I think the virus is targeting these types of people, the extreme elderly who, 50 years ago, would have been dead in their 60’s. Sorry, but there are just a lot of old people out there with compromised immune systems and preexisting conditions.
I wonder how well the NNSA is going to do in going before Congress to justify a 20% increase in spending on nuclear weapons to deter the Soviet Union. Haven’t priorities changed recently? I know getting all those glove boxes up and running at LANL is important but people dying in hospitals of respiratory infections is too.
14 comments:
Great so I can go back to licking doorknobs and going on cruises to Italy. Just kidding.
I like that universities are sending students home to prevent the spread but hotels and airlines are aggressively pushing to get young people to fly and go on vacation with super cheap incentives. Kinda see a contradiction.
On a Bay Area related note:
3 TSA Officers Test Positive For Coronavirus At Mineta San Jose Int’l Airport
https://sanfrancisco.cbslocal.com/2020/03/10/coronavirus-tsa-officers-mineta-san-jose-international-airport/
3 Cases in New Mexico today. The state made it to final 11. I bet Alaska will be last.
It is simply going to spread now. I like that we just stoped travel from Europe, that will sure help considering that the cow is out of the barn so to speak. Cases are starting show up in Santa Fe, not long now before it is in Los Alamos. So buckle up this train has left the station.
You have to be kidding, people are stealing toilet paper at the labs now? Please how much could that cost.
Why so much fear? Im not sure the numbers are much worse than flu when you account for the bias in the sample.
Why so much fear? Im not sure the numbers are much worse than flu when you account for the bias in the sample.
3/12/2020 1:26 PM
Its just the flu bro!
Sorry but did you really think China just shut down their entire economy and lock down everybody because it is just the flu?
There is some evidence and debate that there are actually two strains L and S and one has the 1% rate and other 3.5-5%. You wanna take a chance with 5% death rate for 1/2 or 2/3 of the population? It is the 4.5% that has some people really worried.
You wanna take a chance with 5% death rate for 1/2 or 2/3 of the population? It is the 4.5% that has some people really worried.
3/12/2020 6:49 PM
The sample is strongly biased to those that present SIGNIFICANT symptoms. I'm not sure we can say, at this point, that it is anymore deadly than the annual flu. Time will tell. If you do not understand, when was the last time you had the flu and when was the last time you were swabbed and received a lab result for flu?
The 2019 flu death rate for those who are hospitalized and over 65 years of age is greater than 8%. The death rate for those that require medical "visits" is 1.5% (2019 estimates provided by the CDC). These two categories are the best representation of the current bias in the sample and I would stipulate the current coronavirus sample is highly biased toward the higher rate at this point.
https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/2018-2019.html#:~:text=
Those who are vulnerable should be protected but fear is a powerful thing. Knowledge is the only defense or you can just go buy a bunch of toilet paper....
3/13/2020 4:46 PM
3% or 5%
3/13/2020 7:04 PM
Based on the current bias, I would wager significantly less than 1% mortality after the dust settles. Again, vulnerable demographics need to be protected.
People are living really long. Because of modern medicine elderly people with chronic conditions can live well into their 90’s. I have a couple of friends in their 80’s who have abused their bodies with alcoholism and are still around thanks to emergency treatment. I think the virus is targeting these types of people, the extreme elderly who, 50 years ago, would have been dead in their 60’s. Sorry, but there are just a lot of old people out there with compromised immune systems and preexisting conditions.
I wonder how well the NNSA is going to do in going before Congress to justify a 20% increase in spending on nuclear weapons to deter the Soviet Union. Haven’t priorities changed recently? I know getting all those glove boxes up and running at LANL is important but people dying in hospitals of respiratory infections is too.
" a 20% increase in spending on nuclear weapons to deter the Soviet Union."
Really? You're stuck in 1991, before the Soviet Union dissolved? How sad for you.
3/14/2020 12:12 PM
I guess all those "old" people should just kill themselves, or e euthanized, right? WHy try to keep them alive if they are no one you care about?
Post a Comment