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Does anyone else besides me think there is going to be cuts of maybe 8-10% at ALL facilities, especially after reading this NNSA failure report. Why would anyone continue to dump money into these projects when the nation is faced with 1M people losing their jobs.
"Heck, between this and sequestartion sheet is going to hit the fan at all of these facilities. I wouldn't be surprised to see an 8% to 10% cut at each one of these places after Jan 2013
November 4, 2012 4:42 PM"
With sequestration I thought this would be every place with a 10% cut.
The thing is the timing is off at Jan 2013. It would cause too much trouble. I am not saying the cuts are not going to happen but it will be kicked down the road for Oct 2013. November 4, 2012 9:01 PM Anonymous said...
I am not saying the cuts are not going to happen but it will be kicked down the road for Oct 2013.
November 4, 2012 9:01 PM
Just how do you propose this would happen? The cuts are already law, including the schedule.
Which will be worse, the sequester across the board or the cuts decided on by Congress? One may just as severe as the other. Either way NM may suffer some very deep cuts.
Sequestering 8% of the approximately $4B LLNL/LANL Fy2013 budgets risks about 1600 FTE assuming an average $200k of compensation expense per employee. Some costs are fixed, and 1/4 of the FY has transpired already, so this midyear hit could risk well over 2000 employees. This change would save taxpayers about $320m. This is an illustration of the reduction of GDP and job loss of the Fiscal Cliff.
Steve Leisman (sp?) of Bloomberg TV, reported today that letting the Bush tax cuts expire adds an additional financial burden on all taxpayers. From about $400 for persons making $20k adjusted gross income to $14,000 for persons making over $100k agi. These tax increases would raise hundreds of billions of dollars per year, while the current deficit is 1600 Billion dollars. The drag on the GDP will be about -1.5%, which might put us into recession, costing a few million jobs. These two effects are what makes the Fiscal Cliff so ominous. It appears that this is really going to hurt.
The growing $16 Trillion deficit costs about $500b -$600b per year for debt service. This is about 20% of current federal tax revenues. The remaining So FY2012 federal spending after debt service is the remaining $2T of revenues supplemented by $1.6T of new borrowing. When the historically low interest rates return to normal the cost of debt service will double removing another $500b from collected revenues. So you see, it is incumbent to raise revenues, cut spending in a way which minimizes GDP contraction. With some growth over a 10-20 year period we can print money and inflate our way out of debt. That is how long recovering from the Depression and the Great Society miscues took.
I wish Bush would have paid attention to the micro- and macroeconomics courses while he attended the Harvard Business School. It would also have benefited Obama to have attended HBS while he was attending Harvard Law.
8 comments:
Does anyone else besides me think there is going to be cuts of maybe 8-10% at ALL facilities, especially after reading this NNSA failure report. Why would anyone continue to dump money into these projects when the nation is faced with 1M people losing their jobs.
Cuts are in the works already, but not at the 8-10% level, more likely to be at the 25-30% level.
Anonymous said...
"Heck, between this and sequestartion sheet is going to hit the fan at all of these facilities. I wouldn't be surprised to see an 8% to 10% cut at each one of these places after Jan 2013
November 4, 2012 4:42 PM"
With sequestration I thought this would be every place with a 10% cut.
The thing is the timing is off at Jan 2013. It would cause too much trouble. I am not saying the cuts are not going to happen but it will be kicked down the road for Oct 2013.
November 4, 2012 9:01 PM
Anonymous said...
I am not saying the cuts are not going to happen but it will be kicked down the road for Oct 2013.
November 4, 2012 9:01 PM
Just how do you propose this would happen? The cuts are already law, including the schedule.
Which will be worse, the sequester across the board or the cuts decided on by Congress? One may just as severe as the other. Either way NM may suffer some very deep cuts.
Sequestering 8% of the approximately $4B LLNL/LANL Fy2013 budgets risks about 1600 FTE assuming an average $200k of compensation expense per employee. Some costs are fixed, and 1/4 of the FY has transpired already, so this midyear hit could risk well over 2000 employees. This change would save taxpayers about $320m. This is an illustration of the reduction of GDP and job loss of the Fiscal Cliff.
Steve Leisman (sp?) of Bloomberg TV, reported today that letting the Bush tax cuts expire adds an additional financial burden on all taxpayers. From about $400 for persons making $20k adjusted gross income to $14,000 for persons making over $100k agi. These tax increases would raise hundreds of billions of dollars per year, while the current deficit is 1600 Billion dollars. The drag on the GDP will be about -1.5%, which might put us into recession, costing a few million jobs. These two effects are what makes the Fiscal Cliff so ominous. It appears that this is really going to hurt.
The growing $16 Trillion deficit costs about $500b -$600b per year for debt service. This is about 20% of current federal tax revenues. The remaining So FY2012 federal spending after debt service is the remaining $2T of revenues supplemented by $1.6T of new borrowing. When the historically low interest rates return to normal the cost of debt service will double removing another $500b from collected revenues. So you see, it is incumbent to raise revenues, cut spending in a way which minimizes GDP contraction. With some growth over a 10-20 year period we can print money and inflate our way out of debt. That is how long recovering from the Depression and the Great Society miscues took.
I wish Bush would have paid attention to the micro- and macroeconomics courses while he attended the Harvard Business School. It would also have benefited Obama to have attended HBS while he was attending Harvard Law.
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